English League Championship Final SRS Rankings and Playoff Predictions

Here are the final rankings for the Championship:

Team	MOV	SOS	SRS
Queens Park Rangers	0.848	0.000	0.848
Swansea City	0.587	0.000	0.587
Reading	0.565	0.000	0.565
Norwich City	0.543	0.000	0.543
Cardiff City	0.478	0.000	0.478
Nottingham Forest	0.413	0.000	0.413
Millwall	0.304	0.000	0.304
Leeds United	0.239	0.000	0.239
Watford	0.130	0.000	0.130
Leicester City	0.109	0.000	0.109
Burnley	0.087	0.000	0.087
Hull City	0.022	0.000	0.022
Middlesbrough	0.000	0.000	0.000
Bristol City	-0.065	0.000	-0.065
Coventry City	-0.087	0.000	-0.087
Ipswich Town	-0.130	0.000	-0.130
Portsmouth	-0.152	0.000	-0.152
Barnsley	-0.239	0.000	-0.239
Derby County	-0.283	0.000	-0.283
Crystal Palace	-0.543	0.000	-0.543
Preston North End	-0.543	0.000	-0.543
Doncaster Rovers	-0.565	0.000	-0.565
Sheffield United	-0.761	0.000	-0.761
Scunthorpe United	-0.957	0.000	-0.957

You will notice that the strength of schedule (SOS) for all teams is now zero.  This is because every team has played every other team an equal number of times (twice).  In general, SOS will converge towards zero as the season progresses.  Also, whenever a league has a balanced schedule, like the Championship, it will also converge to zero.

After the jump, my playoff predictions:


For this week's games here are my predictions:

Nottingham Forest 2 Swansea City 1
Reading 2 Cardiff City 2

Despite predicting a loss in the first match, I predict that Swansea will come back to defeat Forest and carry through to the final.  I'm picking Reading to defeat Cardiff in aggregate and face the Swans in the final.  Based on the SRS rankings above, I am now projecting Swansea to defeat Reading in the Playoff final.