MLS week 17 Recap

I did extremely well with my predictions this weekend:

Predicted Score				Actual Score				Points
Kansas City	1	Chivas USA	1	Kansas City	1	Chivas USA	1	30
New York	2	D.C. United	1	New York	0	D.C. United	1	-10
Houston	2	Toronto FC	1	Houston	2	Toronto FC	0	10
Real Salt Lake	2	FC Dallas	1	Real Salt Lake	2	FC Dallas	0	10
Colorado	1	Vancouver	0	Colorado	2	Vancouver	1	15
Los Angeles	2	Chicago	1	Los Angeles	2	Chicago	1	30
San Jose	1	Philadelphia	1	San Jose	0	Philadelphia	0	20
Portland	1	Seattle	1	Portland	2	Seattle	3	-10

That's 6 out of 8 matches where my model predicted the correct outcome.  Also predicted the correct final score in 2 matches.  For the month of July, my accuracy rate has been 60% on outcomes and 15% on scores.  Season-to-date those rates are 43% and 11% respectively.

Updated SRS ratings after the jump:

Team	MOV	SOS	SRS	Change
Real Salt Lake	0.647	-0.026	0.621	0.112
Los Angeles	0.524	-0.034	0.490	0.011
New York	0.500	-0.018	0.482	0.130
Seattle	0.381	-0.024	0.357	-0.012
FC Dallas	0.368	-0.016	0.352	-0.101
Philadelphia	0.278	0.024	0.302	-0.014
Columbus	0.111	0.013	0.124	0.039
San Jose	0.056	0.068	0.123	-0.116
Houston	0.053	-0.001	0.052	0.076
Chivas USA	0.053	-0.019	0.034	0.118
Colorado	-0.050	-0.032	-0.082	0.057
Kansas City	-0.056	-0.064	-0.119	-0.004
Chicago	-0.211	0.062	-0.149	-0.020
D.C. United	-0.294	0.080	-0.214	0.120
New England	-0.444	0.017	-0.427	0.006
Vancouver	-0.450	-0.051	-0.501	-0.075
Portland	-0.588	0.050	-0.539	0.002
Toronto FC	-0.905	0.005	-0.899	-0.254

Real Salt Lake continues their run at the top.  Their win over FC Dallas improved their rating quite a bit.  But, New York's 5-0 win had a much greater impact on their rating, so much that they are still most improved despite a 1-0 loss to D.C. United and their old friend DeRo.  Toronto dug a huge hole for themselves with two losses by a combined score of 7-0.  They're basically buried at the bottom of the table unless these guys can turn things around for them.