Wednesday, August 10, 2011

MLS Week 21 Recap

Had a so-so week with my predictions as you can see below:


Predicted Score
Actual Score
Points
Colorado 1Columbus 1Colorado 2Columbus 0-10
D.C. United 2Toronto FC 1D.C. United 3Toronto FC 3-10
New England 1Chivas USA 2New  England 2Chivas USA 3 15
Philadelphia 1Houston 0Philadelphia 1Houston 1-10
Kansas City 1Seattle 1Kansas City 1Seattle 2-10
Real Salt Lake 2New York 1Real Salt Lake 3New York 0 10
Los Angeles 1FC Dallas 0Los Angeles 3FC Dallas 1 10
San Jose 2Portland 1San Jose 1Portland 1-10
Vancouver 1Chicago 1Vancouver 4Chicago 2-10
Total -25

My accuracy was 3 for 9 on the outcomes and I did not predict any scores correctly.  My outcome accuracy is now 39.6% for the season.  Let's see how the new SRS ratings look:


Team
MOV
SOS
SRS
Change
Real Salt Lake0.667-0.0080.659-0.011
Los Angeles0.600-0.0430.557-0.096
Seattle0.333-0.0160.3180.034
FC Dallas0.2920.0150.307-0.067
Philadelphia0.318-0.0160.302-0.034
Colorado0.1600.0280.1880.077
New York0.1670.0200.186-0.107
Chivas USA0.174-0.0180.1560.010
Columbus0.0870.0370.124-0.081
Houston0.0000.0240.0240.005
Kansas City0.087-0.0650.0220.102
D.C. United-0.190-0.010-0.201-0.057
San Jose-0.2170.009-0.209-0.024
Portland-0.3180.027-0.2910.183
Chicago-0.3180.020-0.298-0.079
New England-0.4780.041-0.438-0.017
Vancouver-0.478-0.039-0.5170.092
Toronto FC-0.880-0.011-0.8910.029

Both Real Salt Lake and Los Angeles won one and lost one last week.  However, LA's loss to Portland hurt their SRS rating more than RSL's loss to Columbus due to Portland being the weaker team.  Conversely, Portland's victory over LA allowed them to register the biggest gain in the ratings.

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