Premier League SRS Rankings - 4/21

Here are the Premier League rankings as of 4/20's matches.  The "Change" column represents each team's change from last week's rankings.

Team	MOV	SOS	SRS	Change
Manchester United	1.152	-0.042	1.109	-0.032
Chelsea	1.030	-0.036	0.994	0.042
Arsenal	0.970	-0.032	0.938	-0.045
Manchester City	0.625	0.017	0.642	-0.004
Tottenham Hotspur	0.250	-0.012	0.238	0.027
Liverpool	0.212	0.014	0.226	0.023
Everton	0.182	-0.054	0.127	0.039
Bolton Wanderers	0.094	-0.001	0.092	0.003
Fulham	0.031	0.004	0.035	0.000
Newcastle United	0.030	-0.027	0.003	0.035
Stoke City	-0.094	0.026	-0.067	-0.004
Sunderland	-0.364	0.056	-0.307	-0.072
Birmingham City	-0.364	0.007	-0.357	0.043
Aston Villa	-0.364	0.004	-0.359	0.024
West Bromwich Albion	-0.455	0.013	-0.441	-0.029
Blackburn Rovers	-0.424	-0.018	-0.442	-0.045
Wolverhampton Wanderers	-0.625	0.060	-0.565	0.002
West Ham United	-0.576	-0.004	-0.580	-0.035
Wigan Athletic	-0.636	0.044	-0.592	0.051
Blackpool	-0.667	-0.052	-0.718	-0.061

Due to gaps in the SRS scores, the teams that saw the biggest positive and negative changes, Wigan and Sunderland respectively, did not move up or down in the rankings.  Chelsea and Arsenal swapped spots again near the top.

Premier League SRS Rankings - 4/14

Team	MOV	SOS	SRS
Manchester United	1.188	-0.046	1.141
Arsenal	1.032	-0.049	0.983
Chelsea	0.968	-0.016	0.952
Manchester City	0.625	0.021	0.646
Tottenham Hotspur	0.258	-0.047	0.211
Liverpool	0.219	-0.016	0.203
Bolton Wanderers	0.094	-0.005	0.089
Everton	0.125	-0.037	0.088
Fulham	0.031	0.004	0.035
Newcastle United	0.031	-0.063	-0.032
Stoke City	-0.094	0.031	-0.063
Sunderland	-0.313	0.078	-0.235
Aston Villa	-0.406	0.023	-0.383
Blackburn Rovers	-0.375	-0.022	-0.397
Birmingham City	-0.387	-0.013	-0.400
West Bromwich Albion	-0.406	-0.006	-0.412
West Ham United	-0.563	0.018	-0.545
Wolverhampton Wanderers	-0.625	0.058	-0.567
Wigan Athletic	-0.719	0.076	-0.643
Blackpool	-0.625	-0.032	-0.657

Arsenal's big win over Blackpool pushes them into second while Chelsea's struggle to beat Wigan knocks them down to third.  The biggest mover was Bolton who moved from 10th to 7th in the rankings.  Newcastle had the biggest drop from 8th to 10th.

Premier League SRS Rankings - 4/6

Here are the updated rankings through Sunday's matches:

Team	MOV	SOS	SRS
Manchester United	1.161	-0.049	1.112
Chelsea	0.967	0.006	0.972
Arsenal	1.000	-0.030	0.970
Manchester City	0.742	0.017	0.759
Tottenham Hotspur	0.233	-0.047	0.186
Liverpool	0.129	-0.039	0.090
Fulham	0.097	-0.032	0.064
Newcastle United	0.065	-0.050	0.015
Everton	0.032	-0.020	0.012
Bolton Wanderers	0.000	0.003	0.003
Stoke City	-0.065	0.019	-0.046
Sunderland	-0.290	0.093	-0.197
Blackburn Rovers	-0.387	-0.010	-0.397
Birmingham City	-0.400	-0.004	-0.404
Aston Villa	-0.452	0.030	-0.421
West Bromwich Albion	-0.452	0.005	-0.446
West Ham United	-0.484	0.018	-0.466
Wolverhampton Wanderers	-0.548	0.057	-0.491
Blackpool	-0.581	-0.059	-0.640
Wigan Athletic	-0.710	0.050	-0.660

No major changes from last week.  Man United still at the top, Wigan still at the bottom.

Here are projected rankings for remaining matches:

Team	MOV	SOS	SRS
Manchester United	0.993	0.250	1.243
Arsenal	1.092	0.040	1.132
Chelsea	1.078	-0.066	1.012
Manchester City	0.703	-0.064	0.639
Liverpool	0.105	0.192	0.297
Tottenham Hotspur	0.075	0.155	0.229
Fulham	-0.202	0.247	0.045
Bolton Wanderers	-0.036	0.062	0.026
Everton	-0.134	0.158	0.024
Newcastle United	-0.196	0.057	-0.139
Aston Villa	-0.081	-0.085	-0.167
West Ham United	-0.347	0.175	-0.172
Stoke City	-0.256	0.051	-0.205
Blackburn Rovers	-0.274	0.062	-0.212
Sunderland	0.148	-0.400	-0.252
Wolverhampton Wanderers	-0.196	-0.297	-0.494
West Bromwich Albion	-0.624	0.099	-0.525
Birmingham City	-0.642	0.078	-0.564
Blackpool	-0.808	0.125	-0.683
Wigan Athletic	-0.625	-0.107	-0.732

Man U moves ahead of Arsenal in these rankings and in my projected final standings.

Premier League Projection 3/22

Here are my projected final standings for the Premier League, updated for this past weekend's results:

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	38	26	7	5	80	39	41	85
2	Manchester United	38	23	11	4	80	39	41	80
3	Chelsea	38	23	7	8	70	31	39	76
4	Manchester City	38	19	12	7	56	34	22	69
5	Tottenham Hotspur	38	18	11	9	53	44	9	65
6	Liverpool	38	16	9	13	51	45	6	57
7	Everton	38	12	15	11	52	51	1	51
8	Bolton Wanderers	38	11	16	11	52	51	1	49
9	Sunderland	38	11	16	11	42	45	-3	49
10	Newcastle United	38	12	11	15	56	58	-2	47
11	Stoke City	38	13	6	19	44	49	-5	45
12	Aston Villa	38	12	9	17	48	63	-15	45
13	Fulham	38	8	19	11	41	42	-1	43
14	Wolverhampton Wanderers	38	11	8	19	45	62	-17	41
15	West Ham United	38	9	13	16	47	63	-16	40
16	Blackburn Rovers	38	10	9	19	49	65	-16	39
17	West Bromwich Albion	38	9	11	18	52	71	-19	38
18	Blackpool	38	9	10	19	55	76	-21	37
19	Birmingham City	38	6	17	15	35	54	-19	35
20	Wigan Athletic	38	6	15	17	36	64	-28	33

No change in the top 6.  Arsenal's lead over Man United shrinks by 2 points because they only managed a draw instead of a win at West Brom.  The additional point West Brom earned was enough to pull them clear of relegation.  Birmingham's loss to Wigan really hurt their prospects and they are now projected for relegation.  Wolves' upset victory over Villa helped them quite a bit, moving them up three spots to 14th.

The English Leagues will be taking a two-week break for international matches, so I won't have much to post in that time.  I will spend that time developing a model for the MLS.  Stay tuned!