Premier League Projection and SRS Rankings

On Tuesday Manchester City defeated Tottenham 1-0, clinching a spot in the Champions League next season.  City also dealt a blow to Tottenham's hopes of grabbing 5th place and the final European spot for the Premier League.  The Spurs now sit in 6th, 2 points behind surging Liverpool. 

This nicely sets up a showdown between these two teams on Sunday at Anfield.  If Liverpool wins, they clinch 5th place and will return to the Europa League next season. A draw or a Spurs victory means that spot will still be up for grabs on the final weekend.  Here is my latest projection for the league:

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA		GD	Pts
1	Manchester United	38	23	11	4	77	36		41	80
2	Chelsea	38	23	7	8	71	31		40	76
3	Arsenal	38	21	10	7	73	41		32	73
4	Manchester City	38	20	9	9	58	34		24	69
5	Liverpool	38	18	8	12	62	43		19	62
6	Tottenham Hotspur	38	15	14	9	54	48		6	59
7	Everton	38	13	15	10	53	47		6	54
8	Stoke City	38	14	7	17	48	47		1	49
9	Bolton Wanderers	38	12	12	14	52	52		0	48
10	Sunderland	38	12	12	14	44	55		-11	48
11	Newcastle United	38	12	11	15	54	55		-1	47
12	Fulham	38	10	16	12	47	43		4	46
13	Aston Villa	38	10	13	15	47	61		-14	43
14	West Bromwich Albion	38	11	10	17	54	73		-19	43
15	Blackburn Rovers	38	10	10	18	45	59		-14	40
16	Birmingham City	38	8	16	14	37	57		-20	40
17	Wolverhampton Wanderers	38	11	7	20	44	66		-22	40
18	Blackpool	38	9	10	19	51	76		-25	37
19	Wigan Athletic	38	7	16	15	38	63		-25	37
20	West Ham United	38	7	14	17	44	66		-22	35

Man United should clinch the title on Saturday at Blackburn.  I'm also expecting Liverpool to wrap-up 5th place against Tottenham.  The three teams currently in the relegation zone, Blackpool, Wigan and West Ham will stay there and return to the Championship.

After the jump my SRS rankings for the Premier League:

Premier League Weekend Results - 4/25

Here is a recap of my holiday weekend predictions from the Premier League:

Manchester United 1 Everton 0 (+10 pts)
Aston Villa 1 Stoke City 1 (-10 pts)
Blackpool 1 Newcastle United 1 (+20 pts)
Liverpool 5 Birmingham City 0 (+10 pts)
Sunderland 4 Wigan Athletic 2 (-10 pts)
Tottenham Hotspur 2 West Bromwich Albion 2 (-10 pts)
Wolverhampton Wanderers 1 Fulham 1 (+30 pts)
Chelsea 3 West Ham United 0 (+10 pts)
Bolton Wanderers 2 Arsenal 1 (-10 pts)
Blackburn Rovers 0 Manchester City 1 (-10 pts)

Overall score was +30 pts and I predicted 5 of 10 outcomes correctly.

Manchester United leads Chelsea by 6 points with 4 matches left, a comfortable but not a safe lead especially according to Carlo Ancelotti, Chelsea's manager.  United still has matches against Arsenal and Chelsea, but if they manage to win or draw those matches then they should win the title.

My latest projection after the break