MLS Week 14 Wrapup and SRS Rankings

Another low-scoring weekend for the MLS with only 22 goals in 9 matches or 2.44/match.  That's including the 6-goal outburst in the Portland/New York match.  Thankfully there were no 0-0 draws. 

I had a so-so week for my predictions as you can see below:



Predicted Score				Actual Score				Points
Kansas City	0	San Jose	0	Kansas City	1	San Jose	0	-10
Toronto FC	1	Seattle	2	Toronto FC	0	Seattle	1	15
New England	1	Chicago	1	New England	1	Chicago	1	30
Houston	2	Columbus	0	Houston	0	Columbus	2	-10
Real Salt Lake	2	D.C. United	1	Real Salt Lake	1	D.C. United	1	-10
Colorado	1	Los Angeles	1	Colorado	1	Los Angeles	3	-10
Vancouver	1	Philadelphia	2	Vancouver	1	Philadelphia	0	-10
Chivas USA	1	FC Dallas	1	Chivas USA	1	FC Dallas	2	-10
Portland	1	New York	1	Portland	3	New York	3	20
							Total	5

Correctly picked 3 of 9 outcomes and 1 score.  For the year my accuracy is 37.1% for outcomes and 9.0% for scores.

There are three midweek games.  here are my predictions for those:

Predicted Score
Philadelphia	2	Kansas City	1
Chicago	1	Real Salt Lake	1
Seattle	1	New York	2

My SRS predictions are after the jump:



Total SRS
Team	MOV	SOS	SRS	Change
Real Salt Lake	0.538	0.035	0.573	-0.093
New York	0.533	0.006	0.539	-0.060
Los Angeles	0.556	-0.060	0.495	0.098
Philadelphia	0.286	0.097	0.383	-0.146
Seattle	0.235	-0.009	0.226	0.021
San Jose	0.214	-0.028	0.186	-0.112
FC Dallas	0.188	-0.040	0.147	0.069
Colorado	0.063	-0.011	0.051	-0.106
Houston	-0.063	0.077	0.015	-0.154
Columbus	0.000	0.009	0.009	0.147
Chivas USA	0.000	-0.017	-0.017	-0.035
Chicago	-0.200	-0.043	-0.243	0.007
Kansas City	-0.231	-0.023	-0.254	0.158
Portland	-0.286	0.027	-0.259	0.062
Vancouver	-0.313	-0.011	-0.323	0.119
D.C. United	-0.429	0.074	-0.355	0.073
New England	-0.438	-0.018	-0.455	0.008
Toronto FC	-0.647	-0.033	-0.680	0.003

No changes at the top or bottom as RSL and Toronto remain the best and worst respectively.  Kansas City was the biggest mover despite beating San Jose only 1-0.  Because San Jose is a higher rated team, KC got a big boost in their strength of schedule.  The biggest loser was Houston, losing at home to Columbus 2-0.  This was a match they were predicted to win 2-0 so they suffered in the SRS ratings.