Wednesday, April 20, 2011

Premier League Weekend Results and Updated Projections

Here is a review of my predictions for the weekend:

Birmingham 2 Sunderland 0 (-10 pts)

Blackpool 1 Wigan Athletic 3 (-10 pts)

Everton 2 Blackburn Rovers 0 (+10 pts)

West Bromwich Albion 1 Chelsea 3 (+10 pts)

West Ham United 1 Aston Villa 2 (-10 pts)

Arsenal 1 Liverpool 1 (-10 pts)
What a strange way to end a match.  Both goals were penalty kicks during the 12(!) minutes of stoppage time at the end of the second half.  Arsenal continues to give away points in the standings, giving up the penalty kick to Liverpool after taking the lead on one of their own.

Newcastle United 0 Manchester United 0 (+20 pts)
I predicted this match would end in a draw, but Man United is probably ruing a missed opportunity to extend their lead at the top.

After the jump, I will have my latest projections for the Premiership.

These are based on matches played through 4/20 so they include today's results (Chelsea 3 Birmingham 1 and Tottenham 3 Arsenal 3):

1Manchester United382312380374381
4Manchester City381911859352468
5Tottenham Hotspur38171295647963
8Bolton Wanderers381214125452250
9Newcastle United381211155555047
10Aston Villa381211154861-1347
12Stoke City38136194650-445
14West Bromwich Albion381110175472-1843
15Birmingham City38915143853-1542
16Blackburn Rovers38912174661-1539
17Wolverhampton Wanderers38107214365-2237
18Wigan Athletic38716153660-2437
20West Ham United38714174667-2135

I'm now projecting Man United to finish four points clear of Arsenal.  Those four points were lost by Arsenal in their recent draws against Liverpool and Tottenham, both of whom they were projected to beat.

Meanwhile at the bottom of the table, West Ham plunged back into the releagtion zone with both feet.  They were projected to beat Aston Villa at home, but Villa pulled off the upset.  That combined with Wigan's victory over Blackpool reshuffled the bottom feeders.  The idle Wolves now sit clear of relegation due to goal differential over Wigan.

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