Monday, April 25, 2011

League Championship Easter Monday Results and Updated Projection

Unlike in the US, Easter Monday is a holiday in the UK.  One of the ways they celebrate is by playing soccer.  All 24 teams in the Championship played today.  Here is how they performed vs my predictions:

Burnley 1 Portsmouth 1 (-10 pts)
Scunthorpe United 1 Millwall 2 (+30 pts)
Preston North End 0 Cardiff City 1 (+15 pts)
Swansea City 4 Ipswich Town 1 (+10 pts)
Bristol City 2 Nottingham Forest 3 (-10 pts)
Leicester City 4 Watford 2 (-10 pts)
Queens Park Rangers 1 Hull City 1 (-10 pts)
Barnsley 2 Doncaster Rovers 2 (-10 pts)
Reading 2 Sheffield United 3 (-10 pts)
Norwich 3 Derby County 2 (+15 pts)
Middlesbrough 2 Coventry City 1 (-10 pts)
Crystal Palace 1 Leeds United 0 (-10 pts)

Overall score was -10 pts and I projected 4 of 12 outcomes correctly.

A victory by QPR would have clinched the title but Hull City held them to a draw.  Meanwhile Norwich and Cardiff's wins kept their title hopes alive.  Cardiff's victory over Preston North End clinched relegation for the Lillywhites.

After the jump, my updated projection.

Pos     Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts 
1Queens Park Rangers46241757132 3989
2Norwich City46231588458 2684
3Cardiff City462411117953 2683
4Reading46211697952 2779
5Swansea City46238156644 2277
6Nottingham Forest461916116451 1373
8Hull City461816125448670
10Leeds United461716138173867
11Leicester City461910177471367
14Ipswich Town46179206167-660
16Bristol City461510216069-955
18Coventry City461411215460-653
19Derby County461311226071-1150
20Doncaster Rovers461115205880-2248
21Crystal Palace461212224467-2348
22Sheffield United46119264376 -3342
23Scunthorpe United46125294385 -4241
24Preston North End46913245380 -2740

Nottingham's victory over Bristol City gives them 2 additional points and moves them ahead of Millwall for the final playoff spot.  I'm still projecting Reading to defeat Cardiff in the playoff final.  Leicester saw the biggest improvement (4 points and 1 spot in the table).  Reading's projection dropped by 3 points after their upset loss to Sheffield United.

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